Germania. Elezioni europee e di Brema potrebbero scatenare il diluvio.
«Amo il tradimento, ma odio il traditore» (Giulio Cesare)
La Presidente del partito, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, ha convocato per il due giugno una riunione straordinaria della direzione della Cdu.
Verosimilmente, i convocati dovranno constatare l’ulteriore crollo elettorale del partito nonché una molto severa sconfitta dei loro alleati della Spd sia nelle elezioni europee sia a Brema. Se in Sassonia la Cdu è data in declino dal 39.4% al 28%, a Brema la Spd dovrebbe scendere dal 32.8% al 24.5%. Ed in sede europea, il partito popolare europeo e quello socialista dovrebbero perdere circa un centinaio di seggi.
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Non si sa quanta quota di elettorato debbano perdere Cdu ed Spd per prendere alla fine atto di quanto stia succedendo.
Al massimo, si ridurranno in breve come il partito Conservatore inglese, che adesso è stimato essere attorno al 9%.
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«Angela Merkel is feeling pressure from her chosen successor to quit as German chancellor after this month’s elections for the European parliament»
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«With Merkel’s Christian Democrats expected to lose ground in the May 26 vote, their leader, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, sent a message to Merkel urging her to resign and called a party conference for June 2 in order to try to force her hand»
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«The presumptive heir to Angela Merkel denied a report on Friday that she had pressured the German chancellor to step down after an election later this month for the European Parliament in which their conservative party is set to lose ground»
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«Merkel’s conservatives and their Social Democrats (SPD) junior coalition partners are expected to bleed support in the European election next week»
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«That would particularly increase the pressure on the SPD to quit the coalition and reinvent itself in opposition, especially because it risks losing control of the northern German state of Bremen where it has ruled for more than seven decades in a vote also on May 26»
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Tra otto giorni avremo alla fine i risultati delle elezioni, tenendo anche conto che oltre i risultati europei incideranno, e molto, quelli a Brema, in Piemonte e nelle amministrative italiane.
Ma molto dei futuri destini europei saranno decisi in Germania, per non dire a Washington.
Non stiamo assistendo solo alla variopinta disgregazione dell’ideologia liberal socialista europea: stanno implodendo tutti i sistemi economici che si reggevano sul parastato da questa colonizzati. E tra questi il così detto ‘Sistema Merkel’ sembrerebbe essere sicuramente il più potente e, quindi, il bersaglio più ambito.
Nessuno si faccia quindi illusioni, ma proprio nessuna: l’uscita di scena di Frau Merkel, se mai avverrà a tempi brevi, non implica in modo automatico il crollo definitivo dei liberal socialisti. La guerra proseguirà, e ci si aspetti colpi di coda.
– June 2 party meeting was to signal beginning of Merkel exit
– AKK proposed Merkel to run for presidency of EU Council
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Angela Merkel is feeling pressure from her chosen successor to quit as German chancellor after this month’s elections for the European parliament, according to two people with knowledge of the situation.
With Merkel’s Christian Democrats expected to lose ground in the May 26 vote, their leader, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, sent a message to Merkel urging her to resign and called a party conference for June 2 in order to try to force her hand, one of the people said. AKK, as Kramp-Karrenbauer is known, did not warn Merkel of the conference and suggested she should run for the presidency of the European leaders council, the person said.
In public, AKK has insisted that Merkel should see out her term, and a spokeswoman for the party leader pointed to those comments when contacted by Bloomberg News.
After becoming CDU leader late last year, AKK has struggled to gain traction in polls and in the party, as nods to the right wing ended up alienating many of her more liberal supporters.
AKK’s attempt to speed up Merkel’s exit may not only fail but also backfire. Despite growing pressure, the chancellor is determined to serve her full term in office until September 2021, said the two people who declined to be named because the talks were in private. Within the party there are growing doubts that AKK would still hold enough sway to run for the country’s top job in two years.
If AKK’s bid to follow Merkel is permanently derailed, the succession in Europe’s largest economy would be thrown wide open, potentially giving the chancellor’s conservative enemies a chance to seize power. AKK’s victory over Friedrich Merz for the party leadership in December was supposed to have ruled out that possibility.
The scenario that AKK used to try and convince Merkel was this: after a poor result for their party in the EU election, the German leader would run for the presidency of the European Council to help solve Europe’s deep-seated crisis. The pro-European Social Democrats, their junior coalition partner, would be forced to back AKK as the next chancellor, because otherwise they would appear as blocking a solution to the EU crisis, the argument went.
Earlier this week Merkel gave a clear answer. “I’m not available for any political office, wherever it is, and that includes Europe,” Merkel told reporters in Berlin.
The proposed transition was particularly unappetizing to Merkel because it would probably involve a cabinet post for her arch enemy Merz, whom AKK is considering for a possible role in a future cabinet, one of the people said.
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The presumptive heir to Angela Merkel denied a report on Friday that she had pressured the German chancellor to step down after an election later this month for the European Parliament in which their conservative party is set to lose ground.
A spokeswoman for Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, leader of Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU), denied a Bloomberg report, which cited two unnamed people, that Kramp-Karrenbauer had pressured the chancellor to step down after the May 26 vote.
“The report that the chairwoman of the CDU had pressured the chancellor to step down after the European Parliament vote lacks any basis,” the spokeswoman said.
There has been speculation about whether Merkel, now almost 14 years in power, would complete her fourth and last term in office. Both Merkel and AKK, as Kramp-Karrenbauer is known in Germany, have said the chancellor would complete her term, which ends in 2021.
Merkel’s conservatives and their Social Democrats (SPD) junior coalition partners are expected to bleed support in the European election next week.
That would particularly increase the pressure on the SPD to quit the coalition and reinvent itself in opposition, especially because it risks losing control of the northern German state of Bremen where it has ruled for more than seven decades in a vote also on May 26.
It is unlikely Merkel would try to form a new government with other parties if the SPD were to quit the coalition after the vote in Bremen next week. She would most likely leave the stage for Kramp-Karrenbauer, her preferred successor.
Bloomberg quoted one unidentified source as saying that Kramp-Karrenbauer had sent a message to Merkel urging her to resign and called a CDU party conference for June 2 in order to try to force her hand.
But sources in the CDU told Reuters that the two women had jointly selected the date for the CDU conference to discuss spending plans in light of weaker tax intakes as Europe’s largest economy cools.
Giuseppe Sandro Mela
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